Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 2.973538 3.285712 3.622943 4.015328 4.460603 4.951652 5.536150
2025-06-29 2.482813 2.894398 3.369105 3.960821 4.683787 5.544992 6.658421
2025-07-06 2.098454 2.538703 3.070258 3.766235 4.663703 5.796158 7.356043
2025-07-13 1.909307 2.382117 2.975300 3.785171 4.879414 6.332092 8.450558
2025-07-20 1.782556 2.283737 2.933767 3.854522 5.151489 6.954435 9.726121
2025-07-27 1.683654 2.208096 2.908674 3.934405 5.435110 7.612004 11.128909
2025-08-03 1.590896 2.129932 2.869095 3.983887 5.672000 8.218503 12.528012
2025-08-10 1.503001 2.049603 2.816920 4.005641 5.863268 8.768953 13.905829
2025-08-17 1.387339 1.920197 2.682582 3.889882 5.826249 8.948235 14.675495
2025-08-24 1.302348 1.828717 2.595892 3.837219 5.880042 9.274850 15.740145
2025-08-31 1.234620 1.757722 2.533837 3.816114 5.980057 9.685184 17.010591
2025-09-07 1.206122 1.743344 2.556188 3.930593 6.316175 10.541083 19.260300
2025-09-14 1.146150 1.678119 2.496595 3.908337 6.419235 10.999628 20.819750
2025-09-21 1.087188 1.610893 2.429289 3.867442 6.484865 11.396079 22.319869
2025-09-28 1.003480 1.499652 2.283756 3.680360 6.265156 11.216614 22.534819
2025-10-05 0.967334 1.462573 2.257253 3.699123 6.430204 11.814835 24.605453
2025-10-12 0.943056 1.443155 2.258459 3.766621 6.693763 12.644490 27.377542
2025-10-19 0.922160 1.427905 2.265344 3.844302 6.984128 13.566908 30.567935
2025-10-26 0.897526 1.404857 2.257030 3.892410 7.218882 14.398273 33.703414
2025-11-02 0.870118 1.375509 2.235666 3.913558 7.399208 15.130100 36.732445
2025-11-09 0.823772 1.311276 2.148665 3.801016 7.285161 15.164347 37.799149
2025-11-16 0.789778 1.266879 2.094860 3.749810 7.298527 15.502531 39.829762
2025-11-23 0.762391 1.232758 2.057825 3.729288 7.377231 16.009701 42.491393